When Phish announces its fall tours.

Seven of Phish’s last ten fall tours were announced between June and August.

Since the 2009 reunion the band has run a fall tour in 10 of 17 years: not every autumn, but often. Plot each announcement (●) against its opening night (○) and the regularity shows. The median announcement falls on Jul 23, 94 days before the band takes the stage. The openers cluster even tighter: seven of the ten opened between October 6 and October 18, a span of twelve days.

The three that break it

Three fall tours sit outside the window, and two of them have a clear reason. 2009, the reunion year, was announced barely six weeks out, when the band was still finding its footing. 2021’s fall dates weren’t a standalone reveal at all: post-COVID, they were bundled into a single announcement with the summer tour, five months ahead. The odd one out is 2018, announced in May with no obvious trigger.

One asterisk on the table below: 2025’s run was billed as a “late-summer” tour rather than a fall tour. It opened in September and sits in the fall slot, so it’s included here, flagged rather than hidden.